TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Vitoria and Chapecoense, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other in this league fixture.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Vitoria vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 7, 2026. If Vitoria wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Vitoria wins by more than 1.5 but no more than 2.5 goals, a separate market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Chapecoense wins by more than 1.5 goals, another market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 goals, a final market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, it is important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Vitoria vs Chapecoense match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result against established sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 8, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift market sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts or major betting outlets could also impact prices. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team covering the spread are likely to cause movement in this market.