TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Brasileiro Serie A match between Vitoria and Chapecoense on October 7, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including any stoppage time added by the referee. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within the 90 minutes plus any additional minutes awarded for injuries or other stoppages, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Vitoria and Chapecoense both score a goal in the Vitoria vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be highly accurate, sometimes exceeding the accuracy of sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Vitoria vs Chapecoense match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'Yes' outcome (both teams to score). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Higher demand for 'Yes' contracts drives the price up, indicating a greater likelihood of both teams scoring, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Vitoria and Chapecoense score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official scoreline reported by recognized sports data providers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vitoria or Chapecoense would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news can also create volatility. Furthermore, any major upsets in other matches involving these teams could influence perceptions of their respective scoring abilities and move this market.