TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Vitesse and Emmen in the Eerste Divisie league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Vitesse wins, Emmen wins, or the game ends in a tie based on this regulation time result.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Vitesse vs Emmen professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding any outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Vitesse vs Emmen match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result, and changes reflect shifts in perceived likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vitesse vs Emmen match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the final score and any applicable rules governing the match. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled according to their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Vitesse or Emmen would likely impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions, which could affect playing style, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could influence traders’ beliefs. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or other polls, might also contribute to price movements in this market.