TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Eerste Divisie league between Vitesse and Breda. The resolution depends solely on which team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will lead to a fair price resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vitesse vs Breda professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Vitesse wins, the 'Vitesse' market resolves to Yes; if Breda wins, the 'Breda' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vitesse vs Breda match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event and official results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Vitesse or Breda would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could drive changes in the market price. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements and making informed trading decisions.