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419,363

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VS.

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Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Machida Zelvia
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Machida Zelvia?

Volume:
$295,269

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 3:58 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,712
N/A
N/A
$58,133
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Machida Zelvia)

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Machida Z

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,366
N/A
N/A
$66,262
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Machida Zelvia

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kobe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,725
N/A
N/A
$53,128
Settled
No
polymarket

Vissel Kōbe

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Vissel Kōbe and FC Machida Zelvia on October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Vissel Kōbe winning, FC Machida Zelvia winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same core event (result after 90 minutes + stoppage time) and utilize a consistent hierarchy of data sources for settlement.Primary resolution logic: Official J.League statistics (jleague.jp)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled with no makeup game, win/loss markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are published, or within 24 hours of the match's conclusion using fallback data sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Vissel Kōbe and FC Machida Zelvia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Kobe vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Kobe, a win for Machida Z, or a tie. If the match concludes with a draw at the end of regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result within standard time and does not account for any post-regulation deciding factors such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate prediction of whether one team will win the J1 League match between Vissel Kōbe and FC Machida Zelvia. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability of approximately 67% for a Vissel Kōbe win, with a total volume of $295,269. This represents the combined sentiment from both venues, offering a comprehensive outlook on the likely result. The J1 League match market provides a unique way to gauge public opinion and potential outcomes before the event takes place.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant public information isn't fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, both types of odds aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to distinct trading behaviors. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $295,269 total – can influence price discovery. Trading fees and platform-specific rules might also contribute to discrepancies. Finally, differing interpretations of available information regarding team form, injuries, and other relevant factors can cause the odds to diverge.