TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Virtus Entella and Modena FC scheduled for March 3, 2026. Three markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms, covering outcomes of Entella win, draw, and Modena win, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation resolution rule (resolves YES on cancellation) that contradicts the win markets (resolve NO on cancellation), creating logical inconsistency. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, relying on implicit sports betting standards.Hero Tip:
Traders holding Polymarket positions should request clarification on whether the draw market's YES-on-cancellation rule is intentional. If the game is canceled, this rule could cause all three mutually exclusive outcomes to have conflicting resolutions. Consider this a documentation risk rather than a market design flaw until confirmed otherwise.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers three separate binary markets (Entella Win, Draw, Modena Win). All reference official Liga Serie B statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus. Critical inconsistency: Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; Win markets resolve NO under same condition. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'Kalshi:
Single compound market covering all three outcomes (Entella win, Tie, Modena win) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicitly assumes standard sports betting protocols where postponed games remain open and canceled games are voided or rescheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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