TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Virtus Bologna vs. Saski Baskonia
Volume:
$77,246
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 10 at 2:30PM ET: If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the Saski Baskonia win, the market will resolve to "Saski Baskonia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Virtus Bologna wins OR Baskonia wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where one team winning resolves to that team's name and the other resolves to the opponent's name, with explicit postponement and cancellation clauses.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market—it is logically broken and cannot be settled. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows standard sports betting logic. If you hold Kalshi contracts, escalate to the platform for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Virtus Bologna wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Baskonia wins... resolves to Yes,' meaning every possible outcome resolves to Yes with no No resolution path. This violates binary market structure and makes settlement impossible.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Resolves to 'Virtus Bologna' if Virtus Bologna wins, 'Saski Baskonia' if Saski Baskonia wins, with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Source is Euroleague Basketball official records.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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