TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Virtus Bologna vs. Kosner Baskonia
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Virtus Bologna vs. Kosner Baskonia?

Volume:
$127,968

Virtus Bologna

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virtus Bologna

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,654
N/A
N/A
$41,938
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Virtus Bologna (-3.5)

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Virtus Bologna vs. Kosner Baskonia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,372
N/A
N/A
$26,188
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 174.5

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Euroleague basketball game between Virtus Bologna and Kosner Baskonia. The markets resolve to either Virtus Bologna winning or Kosner Baskonia winning the game. Postponement or cancellation scenarios are also addressed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game date over a year in the future (October 16, 2026), while Polymarket refers to the current date (October 16, 2024).Hero tip: Focus trading activity on Polymarket, as it reflects the currently scheduled game. Avoid Kalshi until the date discrepancy is clarified.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Virtus Bologna or Kosner Baskonia based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 16, 2024 at 2:30 PM ET. If postponed, market remains open. If canceled, resolves 50-50. "If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Virtus Bologna wins the game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, or Yes if Baskonia wins. "If Virtus Bologna wins the Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Virtus Bologna men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 16 at 2:30PM ET: If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the Kosner Baskonia win, the market will resolve to "Kosner Baskonia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the designated EuroLeague basketball game scheduled for October 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Virtus Bologna vs. Baskonia game. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 66% chance of a specific result, with a total volume of $127,968. This represents the collective predictions of traders on both venues, allowing you to see where the smart money is going. The 24-hour volume is $127,071, showing recent trading activity. This aggregated view provides a comprehensive look at expectations for this matchup.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to provide informed opinions, and the wisdom of the crowd tends to converge on the most likely outcome. While sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, prediction markets prioritize accuracy. However, differences can exist due to factors like market liquidity and differing user bases. This market provides a unique perspective compared to conventional betting options, potentially offering value for informed traders.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information regarding the Virtus Bologna vs. Baskonia game. Trading volume can also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders can buy and sell predictions – differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, contributing to discrepancies. These differences provide opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price variations across platforms.