TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Virginia and Wake Forest specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that single quarter, ignoring the rest of the match.
The event determines whether either Virginia or Wake Forest achieves a specified point differential advantage over the opposing team exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which one team must lead at the end of the third quarter to resolve as 'Yes'. If Wake Forest wins by exceeding the designated point margin, or if Virginia wins by exceeding its respective margin, the relevant market resolves affirmatively. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these thresholds. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official third-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the continuous flow of information and diverse perspectives incorporated by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market evolves as participants react to news, injuries, and other factors influencing the game. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but discrepancies can exist, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third quarter spread between Virginia and Wake Forest is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts available for purchase on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Virginia or Wake Forest would likely cause shifts in the spread. Changes in team performance during the first and second quarters of the game will also be closely watched. Unexpected weather conditions, or even significant coaching decisions, could also influence trader sentiment and move the price of contracts. Furthermore, late-breaking news related to team morale or internal issues could also contribute to market movement.