TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Virginia and SMU. It provides a way to bet specifically on the performance of each team in the last 15 minutes of regulation play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on 4th quarter scoring, making it a unique angle on the game's final moments.
If SMU wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may suggest that prediction market traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s pricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Virginia or SMU teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Game-day performance in the first three quarters, particularly if one team establishes a dominant lead, will heavily influence trading activity. Even external factors like weather conditions, if severe enough to affect gameplay, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.