TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Virginia vs Florida St.: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

Virginia vs Florida St.: 1st Quarter Spread

Volume:
$15,515

Virginia wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Virginia wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:16 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$2,825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
$1,499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,447
N/A
N/A
$1,447
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,555
N/A
N/A
$2,924
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,589
N/A
N/A
$2,589
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$803
N/A
N/A
$768
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$687
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
$535
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Virginia or Florida State in the first quarter of their college football game. Bettors can choose from various point spreads to wager on which team will dominate early in the match.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Virginia vs Florida State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for Virginia or Florida State to win by—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—in order for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Virginia vs Florida State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how the perceived likelihood of various outcomes has changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $11,825, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $15,515. This provides insight into market activity and how much interest traders have in the Virginia vs Florida State spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Often, prediction markets are seen as highly accurate forecasts, sometimes even more so than expert polls or analysts’ predictions. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases influencing each.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first quarter of the Virginia vs Florida State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will settle based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Virginia or Florida State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could potentially move this market as information flows between different venues.