TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:03h:27m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Virginia Cavaliers and the Davidson Wildcats, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with resolution dependent on the official result of the contest.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Virginia Cavaliers and Davidson Wildcats, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Virginia vs. Davidson women's college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the Cavaliers-Wildcats game, and comparing the odds can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Cavaliers-Wildcats game can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, with varying levels of expertise and information about the teams involved. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, differing market mechanics and fee structures between Polymarket and Kalshi can influence how traders set prices. These variations offer opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price discrepancies across platforms.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Virginia Cavaliers vs. Davidson Wildcats (W) game. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cavaliers or the Wildcats could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during upcoming games could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and news coverage, can also play a role, especially if it deviates from initial predictions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely move this market.