TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Georgii Kravchenko in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Georgii Kravchenko in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when information is sparse or subjective. However, sportsbook odds may be more readily available and offer different betting options than are available in this market. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena: Sergi Fita Juan vs Georgii Kravchenko match. Any official announcements regarding the match's completion and the winner will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or updates on player form could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause shifts in the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the relative probabilities of each outcome has the potential to move this market.