TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Maks Kasnikowski in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Maks Kasnikowski in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own assessments. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but this market shows a more balanced probability, it could indicate disagreement with the conventional wisdom. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it’s important to remember each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Henning vs Kasnikowski match, and the price of these shares reflects the collective probability assigned to each result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Philip Henning and Maks Kasnikowski, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and resolution nears.