TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Ivan Marrero Curbelo in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Ivan Marrero Curbelo. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero Curbelo' if Ivan Marrero Curbelo advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Ivan Marrero Curbelo in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Ivan Marrero Curbelo. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero Curbelo' if Ivan Marrero Curbelo advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals freely trading their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, these differences can fluctuate as new information emerges and betting activity evolves.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena match between Philip Henning and Ivan Marrero Curbelo. Any official result announced by the governing tennis body will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is confirmed and reported.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, fueled by social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.