TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Borna Gojo in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Borna Gojo. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Borna Gojo in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Borna Gojo. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction markets like this one can offer different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability increases accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena match between Philip Henning and Borna Gojo. This means the platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winner. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match, as reported by these sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. For example, if reports emerge that Philip Henning is suffering from a minor injury, the probability of Borna Gojo winning could increase. Similarly, unexpected weather conditions or changes to the court surface could also impact the market. Real-time updates on player performance during warm-up sessions or early stages of the match could also trigger price movements as traders react to the unfolding events.