TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Visker and Marko Topo in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels Visker' if Niels Visker advances against Marko Topo. This market will resolve to 'Marko Topo' if Marko Topo advances against Niels Visker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Visker and Marko Topo in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels Visker' if Niels Visker advances against Marko Topo. This market will resolve to 'Marko Topo' if Marko Topo advances against Niels Visker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering on their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception clashes with expert analysis. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Visker vs Topo match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Visker vs Topo match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either player could shift expectations. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments might also impact sentiment. Furthermore, significant media coverage or endorsements could sway public opinion and, consequently, trading activity within this market. Monitoring these signals can help you anticipate potential price movements.