TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Moez Echargui and Raul Brancaccio in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Raul Brancaccio. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Moez Echargui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Moez Echargui and Raul Brancaccio in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Raul Brancaccio. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Moez Echargui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market relies on the open exchange of opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both sources have their own strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Echargui vs Brancaccio match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Moez Echargui and Raul Brancaccio, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which competitor emerged victorious in the match. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The precise details of verification are outlined on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis favoring one player over the other could also impact the market. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also be considered by traders on Polymarket. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in the market price.