TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 6:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Moez Echargui and Daniil Glinka in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Daniil Glinka. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Moez Echargui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Moez Echargui and Daniil Glinka in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Daniil Glinka. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Moez Echargui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by user predictions, can sometimes identify discrepancies or inefficiencies in sportsbook pricing. It's important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to assess where the perceived value lies, but remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the platform’s core functionality.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena: Moez Echargui vs Daniil Glinka match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or changes in their recent performance, might also impact the market. Monitoring sports news, expert analysis, and the trading activity on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market.