TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Max Hans Rehberg will win against Hynek Barton in their upcoming tennis match in Villena, resolving to ‘Max Hans Rehberg’ if he advances. Currently, Polymarket gives a 50.0% probability to Game Spread: Max Hans Rehberg (-1.5) vs Hynek Barton (+1.5). The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the original match schedule, as the outcome will be determined following the match originally planned for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Hans Rehberg and Hynek Barton in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Max Hans Rehberg advances against Hynek Barton. This market will resolve to 'Hynek Barton' if Hynek Barton advances against Max Hans Rehberg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where the sportsbook may be mispricing the probability of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Rehberg vs Barton match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 15, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Max Hans Rehberg or Hynek Barton, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even weather forecasts impacting the court surface, could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts for shifts in this market.