TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Oliver Tarvet in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Mathys Erhard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Oliver Tarvet in the Villena, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Erhard' if Mathys Erhard advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Mathys Erhard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may suggest that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It’s important to consider both when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Mathys Erhard and Oliver Tarvet in Villena, Spain. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in expectations, causing the price to move quickly. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the event is crucial for understanding potential market movements.