TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Edas Butvilas and Max Hans Rehberg in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Max Hans Rehberg. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Max Hans Rehberg advances against Edas Butvilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edas Butvilas and Max Hans Rehberg in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Max Hans Rehberg. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Max Hans Rehberg advances against Edas Butvilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, which can slightly distort the true probabilities. This market, driven by informed traders, aims to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value or disagreements in the assessment of the match’s outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Villena tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena tennis match between Edas Butvilas and Max Hans Rehberg, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when resolution is complete.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself could temporarily move the price, though sustained shifts typically require underlying changes in perceived probabilities related to the Villena tennis match.