TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Reynolds/Watt and Carrascosa/Carrascosa in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reynolds/Watt' if the team of Reynolds/Watt advances against Carrascosa/Carrascosa. This market will resolve to 'Carrascosa/Carrascosa' if the team of Carrascosa/Carrascosa advances against Reynolds/Watt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Reynolds/Watt and Carrascosa/Carrascosa in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reynolds/Watt' if the team of Reynolds/Watt advances against Carrascosa/Carrascosa. This market will resolve to 'Carrascosa/Carrascosa' if the team of Carrascosa/Carrascosa advances against Reynolds/Watt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing compared to traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in perceived likelihood, offering a real-time assessment of the Villena doubles match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena doubles match between Reynolds/Watt and Carrascosa/Carrascosa. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches involving these players might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into how the market is reacting to evolving information surrounding the Villena doubles match.