TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Molteni/Hernandez and Kittay/Yuzuki in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Molteni/Hernandez' if the team of Molteni/Hernandez advances against Kittay/Yuzuki. This market will resolve to 'Kittay/Yuzuki' if the team of Kittay/Yuzuki advances against Molteni/Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Molteni/Hernandez and Kittay/Yuzuki in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Molteni/Hernandez' if the team of Molteni/Hernandez advances against Kittay/Yuzuki. This market will resolve to 'Kittay/Yuzuki' if the team of Kittay/Yuzuki advances against Molteni/Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or the influence of late-breaking news. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering value compared to fixed sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villena doubles match between Molteni/Hernandez and Kittay/Yuzuki, as reported by a trusted source for professional tennis results. The winning pair will determine the outcome, and the market will settle accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either team, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could lead to price movements, making it a dynamic market to watch until the Oct 15, 2026 resolution.