TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Gauthier Onclin in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Gauthier Onclin. This market will resolve to 'Gauthier Onclin' if Gauthier Onclin advances against Daniil Glinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Gauthier Onclin in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Gauthier Onclin. This market will resolve to 'Gauthier Onclin' if Gauthier Onclin advances against Daniil Glinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect information and analysis beyond what is typically incorporated into traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance betting action and account for a profit margin, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in on the probability of an event. This can lead to odds that are more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing opinions, market liquidity, and the specific expertise of participants in each venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Glinka vs Onclin match, and the volume traded shows the level of interest in this outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Glinka vs Onclin match as officially recorded. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match's completion and the determination of the winner to understand when the market will be settled.
The outcome of this market is directly tied to the result of the Glinka vs Onclin match. Factors influencing the actual match—such as player form, recent performance, head-to-head records, and any unforeseen circumstances like injuries—will naturally impact the market. Additionally, news and analysis surrounding the players and the event can shift trader sentiment and influence the price of shares in this market, reflecting evolving expectations about the likely winner.