TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and profit margins into their odds, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the Rincon vs Sanchez match outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Rincon vs Sanchez match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Rincon vs Sanchez match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also affect market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, especially if they indicate a strong conviction from informed traders about the Rincon vs Sanchez match’s outcome.