TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Damir Dzumhur and Georgii Kravchenko in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Damir Dzumhur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Damir Dzumhur and Georgii Kravchenko in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Damir Dzumhur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates the implied probability, and the volume traded demonstrates the level of conviction behind each potential result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dzumhur vs Kravchenko match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could trigger movement. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also affect confidence levels. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.