TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Petr Nesterov in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Petr Nesterov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Petr Nesterov in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Petr Nesterov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are mispriced, or that information not yet factored into sportsbook lines is present in the prediction market. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Villena tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Petr Nesterov is completed as scheduled. The platform will rely on official tournament results and widely available sports news sources to determine the final result. Any potential delays or cancellations will be considered during the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions at the match location, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or fitness, or any disruptions to the tournament schedule, would likely lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Any updates regarding the players' performance in lead-up matches would also be closely watched.