TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
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OPEN INTEREST:
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417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 23h:30m:29s
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Villarreal and PSG, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds define whether the market settles positively for each team.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Villarreal vs PSG Champions League match scheduled for November 3, 2026. All outcomes are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Four distinct primary rules define resolution: Villarreal winning by more than 2.5 goals, Villarreal winning by more than 1.5 goals, PSG winning by more than 1.5 goals, and PSG winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional offers, while this market relies on the collective judgment of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information sources. It’s common to see this market price in information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding team news or subtle changes in form, leading to potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Villarreal vs PSG match, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Villarreal or PSG would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions in the days leading up to the match would also be key catalysts. Major shifts in public perception, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, could also move the market.