TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Villarreal vs Napoli
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What is the result of Villarreal vs Napoli?

Volume:
$1,481,499

Villarreal

 - Kalshi

Villarreal - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:50 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Villarreal

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$561,492
N/A
N/A
$270,397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Napoli

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$665,235
N/A
N/A
$418,429
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$254,772
N/A
N/A
$153,491
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Villarreal will win its Champions League soccer game against Napoli. Currently, Kalshi gives Villarreal a 68.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 21.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the Champions League fixture. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 13, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Villarreal vs Napoli Champions League match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Villarreal market occurs if Villarreal wins in regulation time; a 'Yes' for Napoli if Napoli wins in regulation; and a 'Yes' for Tie if the match ends level in regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform rules. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Villarreal vs Napoli match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the likelihood of different outcomes. Currently, the total volume traded on Kalshi is $1,481,499, with $1,164,564 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see how sentiment is shifting as new information becomes available and traders react to the latest news surrounding the teams and the match itself. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market activity.

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights differing from those found in traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides, whereas this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position on Kalshi, driving the price toward what they perceive as the true probability. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Villarreal vs Napoli match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome and can lose money if their predictions are wrong. The current market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Villarreal vs Napoli match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Villarreal, a win for Napoli, or a draw—is the final result of the match. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Villarreal or Napoli would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about suspensions or changes in the starting lineups would also be catalysts. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media, can also play a role, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages for either team.