TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Villarreal vs Getafe
opinion
kalshi

What is the result of Villarreal vs Getafe?

Total volume:
$1,428
Volume 24h:
$310
50%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,368
24%

Villarreal

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:15h:38m

Villarreal wins

67%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 68¢ buys you 147 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $147 | Net Profit: $47 Multiplier: 1.47x | ROI: 47% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Villarreal

Trade
67%
1%
Yes 68¢No 33¢
1¢
N/A
$184
34%
2,369%
$155
5d 15h 38m
Active
opinion

Villarreal wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 12h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
67%
Yes 68¢No 33¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Getafe

12%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$1,244
27%
124,276%
$1,213
5d 15h 38m
Active
opinion

Getafe wins

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 12h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 15h 38m
Active
opinion

Draw

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 12h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a La Liga soccer match between Villarreal and Getafe on November 8, 2026. Traders predict whether Villarreal will win, Getafe will win, or the match will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The markets cover all three possible outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi creates three separate markets (Villarreal win, Getafe win, Draw), while Opinion creates three separate questions with binary outcomes. This difference in market structure could lead to differing implied probabilities.Hero tip: Consider the implied probabilities across platforms. Kalshi's markets don't necessarily sum to 1, while Opinion's questions are mutually exclusive.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Kalshi creates three separate markets, one for each possible outcome (Villarreal win, Getafe win, Draw). Each market resolves to 'Yes' if that specific outcome occurs.
  • opinion: Opinion creates three separate questions, one for each possible outcome (Villarreal win, Getafe win, Draw). Each question resolves to 'Yes' if that specific outcome occurs and 'No' otherwise.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Villarreal vs Getafe professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Opinion

This market refers to the La Liga match between Villarreal (VIL) and Getafe (GET), scheduled for 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC. - VIL: If Villarreal wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - GET: If Getafe wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both VIL and GET options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Villarreal vs Getafe match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,428, with $308 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this contest. The dashboard provides a consensus view, reflecting the combined sentiment from both Kalshi and Opinion regarding which team is favored to win. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market expectations for the Villarreal vs Getafe match.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Kalshi and Opinion, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders. This market's price reflects what participants believe is the true probability of each outcome, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. Furthermore, prediction markets allow traders to take either side of a bet, creating a dynamic pricing environment that can react quickly to new information, unlike fixed-odds sportsbooks. This can lead to discrepancies in implied probabilities.

Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Opinion may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs. Kalshi currently favors Villarreal wins at a chance of approximately 68%, while Opinion has not reported a percentage. These differences can arise from varying levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply from differing opinions and risk appetites among the participants. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery and potentially a different price than on a platform with lower volume.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villarreal vs Getafe match, as reported by official sports sources. Traders will be able to see the outcome reflected in their positions shortly after the match concludes. The final result will determine which outcome is considered the winner for this market, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Villarreal or Getafe would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day could influence the perceived probabilities. Finally, any significant public statements from team managers or key players could also move this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.