TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Espanyol will win the Villarreal vs Espanyol La Liga soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Espanyol a 45.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 33.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official result of the Villarreal vs Espanyol professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 30, 2026, as that will begin the timeframe for determining the winner.
The event resolves based on the result of the Villarreal vs Espanyol professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Villarreal win, Espanyol win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, but can also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants contributing to the prediction market's price discovery.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Villarreal vs Espanyol match, as determined by the governing football league. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about key player availability or tactical changes would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, any major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment could also impact trading activity and ultimately the price of contracts within this market.