TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:17h:25m
$
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Villarreal CF and Getafe CF. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and has specific rules for postponements and cancellations.
In the upcoming match between Villarreal CF and Getafe CF, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Getafe CF" if Getafe CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Villarreal CF and Getafe CF, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Getafe CF" if Getafe CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on proprietary models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, though this isn't always the case. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more nuanced understanding of the likely outcome.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can buy and sell predictions—can differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to these price discrepancies. These differences are normal and reflect the independent nature of each market.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team – Villarreal CF or Getafe CF – scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will be used to verify the result. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the first goalscorer, as this will be the basis for settling this market. Any disputes will be resolved based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Villarreal CF or Getafe CF would be a major catalyst. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day could influence the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could drive trading activity and move the probabilities reflected in this market.