TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, reflecting various degrees of expected outcome certainty.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Villanova vs Fordham college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Villanova wins, markets resolve to Yes when the victory margin exceeds the specified spread (ranging from 2.5 to 34.5 points). If Fordham wins, markets resolve to Yes only when the victory margin exceeds the specified spread (1.5 to 13.5 points). Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time are treated as valid, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread in the Villanova vs Fordham game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts indicating a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Villanova vs Fordham game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts they held when the market closed. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Villanova or Fordham teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports analysts could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams could also shift perceptions and affect trading activity in this market.