TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Villa Maria: Tomas Farjat vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo
- Polymarket
Villa Maria: Tomas Farjat vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Nov 2, 2026
Closed: Nov 2, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Farjat and Federico Aguilar Cardozo in the Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Federico Aguilar Cardozo. This market will resolve to 'Federico Aguilar Cardozo' if Federico Aguilar Cardozo advances against Tomas Farjat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Farjat and Federico Aguilar Cardozo in the Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Federico Aguilar Cardozo. This market will resolve to 'Federico Aguilar Cardozo' if Federico Aguilar Cardozo advances against Tomas Farjat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence this market, potentially leading to discrepancies. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information or shifts in public opinion than traditional sportsbooks, as traders react quickly to any relevant news or analysis surrounding the fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Farjat vs Aguilar boxing match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the fight’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Tomas Farjat and Federico Aguilar Cardozo, as declared by the relevant boxing commission or governing body. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner, or if the match ends in a draw, based on the official record of the event. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Public analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in betting trends at traditional sportsbooks might also influence trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning is likely to move the market.