TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Ribero and Mateo Carballo in the Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Ribero' if Franco Ribero advances against Mateo Carballo. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Carballo' if Mateo Carballo advances against Franco Ribero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Ribero and Mateo Carballo in the Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Ribero' if Franco Ribero advances against Mateo Carballo. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Carballo' if Mateo Carballo advances against Franco Ribero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by traders. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge with prediction market prices as the event approaches, as both attempt to accurately forecast the outcome. However, discrepancies can still arise due to differing information or biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a probabilistic forecast for the Ribero vs Carballo match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ribero vs Carballo match as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise details of payout will be determined by the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player's camp could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the sport, could also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trades executed by influential market participants on Polymarket can create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability based on new information or analysis.