TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 2:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Nicolas Kicker in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Fernandez' if Bruno Fernandez advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Bruno Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Nicolas Kicker in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Fernandez' if Bruno Fernandez advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Bruno Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, driven by informed traders, can sometimes reflect more accurate probabilities, especially when there's a strong informational advantage among participants. However, it's important to remember that both sources represent probabilities based on different sets of information and incentives, and discrepancies can occur.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fernandez vs Kicker match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can sometimes create short-term price fluctuations, as can broader trends in tennis betting sentiment.