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24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
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$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
- Polymarket
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 9, 2026
Time left: 06d:13h:35m
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This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Valerio Aboian in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Valerio Aboian in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price discovery process, and the platform’s design encourages efficient price signals based on the aggregated opinions of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villa Maria match between Alan Magadan and Valerio Aboian. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner, and any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s guidelines. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Alan Magadan or Valerio Aboian, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance, strategic adjustments, or even weather conditions affecting the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, or even broader trends in the sport, could contribute to price movements in this market.