TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Vila Nova and Juventude RS. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting the offensive performance of both teams during regulation time.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored in the Vila Nova vs Juventude RS professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. All markets resolve solely on the count of goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same underlying event—the full-match regulation-time result—and are independent only in their resolution criteria regarding goal count thresholds. The governing body’s official match result, recognized by the league, determines the resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of the event occurring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but initial differences can present trading opportunities for those who believe the market has mispriced the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible outcome, providing insights into the overall sentiment surrounding the Vila Nova vs Juventude match and the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal tally from the Vila Nova vs Juventude match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official confirmation is available. The market’s resolution is dependent on the completion of the full match.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vila Nova or Juventude could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, can also move the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or betting activity on sportsbooks could influence trading behavior on Kalshi.