TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of each team within the standard match duration.
If Vila Nova and Gremio Novorizontino both score a goal in the Vila Nova vs Gremio Novorizontino Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. If a significant difference emerges between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into the traditional betting markets. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting 'Yes' (both teams to score), the price increases, and vice-versa for 'No'. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates the market’s overall expectation.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Vila Nova and Gremio Novorizontino score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as determined by the governing football authorities, will be used to settle this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the resulting payouts on Kalshi once the resolution process is complete. The outcome is determined by the official match result.
Several factors could influence the Vila Nova vs Gremio BTTS market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either manager could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and analysis from sports commentators could influence trading activity on Kalshi leading up to the match.