TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Vila Nova and Gremio Novorizontino in the Brasileiro Serie B league. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game disruptions, ensuring fair resolution if the match is significantly altered or canceled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vila Nova vs Gremio Novorizontino professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Vila Nova wins, the 'Vila Nova' market resolves to Yes; if Gremio Novorizontino wins, the 'Gremio Novorizontino' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that market participants have access to information or insights not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can occur.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Brazilian Serie B match between Vila Nova and Gremio Novorizontino, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match venue could also play a role. Additionally, performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, and even public sentiment expressed through media coverage or social media could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions as the event approaches.