TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
A Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Vila Nova and Cuiaba will determine how many goals are scored over 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Analysts will analyze both teams' offensive and defensive capabilities to predict the likely goal count.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Markets are structured for over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. If the specified threshold of goals is exceeded, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The markets are independent, and each threshold must be met for its respective market to resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move to reflect that collective view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges for the Vila Nova vs Cuiaba match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring, while lower prices suggest a lower probability.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Vila Nova vs Cuiaba match will be the determining factor. Any goals scored during regulation time, or any added time as determined by the official match referee, will be counted. The final result will be sourced from official match data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vila Nova or Cuiaba would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive price fluctuations. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff may also move this market.