TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vila Nova FC" if Vila Nova FC score more goals than Grêmio Novorizontino in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Vila Nova FC and Grêmio Novorizontino score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Novorizontino" if Grêmio Novorizontino score more goals than Vila Nova FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vila Nova FC" if Vila Nova FC score more goals than Grêmio Novorizontino in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Vila Nova FC and Grêmio Novorizontino score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Novorizontino" if Grêmio Novorizontino score more goals than Vila Nova FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Grêmio Novorizontino will win the second half. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. The platform’s interface displays the current price and volume for each possible result, allowing participants to assess market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team wins the second half of the Vila Nova vs. Grêmio match. Official match data from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the winning team. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome based on their share holdings in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, in-game events during the first half of the match, such as early goals or red cards, would likely cause significant price movements. Overall match form and recent performance of both teams are also important factors that traders will consider when adjusting their positions in this market.