TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Faroe Islands Premier League between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the Vikingur vs Argir professional Faroe Islands Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026: a win for Vikingur, a win for Argir, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie at the end of regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in risk assessment. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating its assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vikingur vs Argir match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be declared the winner. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team form, tactical adjustments, or even pre-match interviews with key players could all contribute to price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though this market is driven by actual trading activity. Major shifts in volume, particularly close to Oct 18, 2026, are also strong indicators of changing expectations.