TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Vikings vs. Lions - First Touchdown Scorer
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Vikings vs. Lions?

Volume:
$467,539

Justin Jefferson

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Justin Jefferson

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,810
N/A
N/A
$45,835
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Justin Jefferson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Amon-Ra St. Brown

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,384
N/A
N/A
$55,709
Settled
No
polymarket

Amon-Ra St. Brown

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,543
N/A
N/A
$33,213
Settled
No
polymarket

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

T.J. Hockenson

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,666
N/A
N/A
$38,135
Settled
No
polymarket

T.J. Hockenson

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Mason

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,401
N/A
N/A
$35,949
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan Mason

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,688
N/A
N/A
$31,675
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyler Murray

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam LaPorta

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,003
N/A
N/A
$28,485
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam LaPorta

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

MIN Vikings D/ST

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,875
N/A
N/A
$25,908
Settled
No
kalshi

Jameson Williams

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,900
N/A
N/A
$21,635
Settled
No
polymarket

Jameson Williams

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Yurosek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,201
N/A
N/A
$17,199
Settled
No
kalshi

DET Lions D/ST

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,036
N/A
N/A
$16,945
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Addison

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,358
N/A
N/A
$10,114
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan Addison

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,458
N/A
N/A
$8,990
Settled
No
kalshi

Isaac TeSlaa

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,878
N/A
N/A
$8,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Gavin Bartholomew

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,347
N/A
N/A
$7,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Jauan Jennings

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,469
N/A
N/A
$6,461
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This prediction market asks participants to forecast which player will score the first touchdown in the NFL game between the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions on November 1st. Touchdowns scored by defensive or special teams are excluded. The markets cover a wide range of potential scorers, including quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi includes defensive touchdowns as a valid outcome, while Polymarket excludes them and offers an 'Other' option for unlisted players.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a defensive touchdown when evaluating Kalshi markets. Polymarket's 'Other' option provides a hedge against unlisted players scoring.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if a listed player scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown. Excludes defensive/special teams touchdowns. Includes an 'Other' option for any unlisted player. Resolves 'No' if a listed player does not score. If the game is canceled, the 'Other' outcome resolves 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if any listed player, including defensive/special teams, scores the first touchdown. Each player has a separate market. If no player scores, a separate market resolves 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

First Touchdown Scorer markets for Vikings vs. Lions.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a snap occurs, resolution depends solely on whether that participant scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other participant markets resolve to No. Touchdowns resulting from fake punts or offensive field goals do not count toward resolution. All markets are independent, and participation status—active but snapless—triggers specific settlement conditions prior to any scoring events.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to news and developments affecting the likelihood of different outcomes. The spread between prediction market and sportsbook odds can sometimes be significant, offering arbitrage opportunities.

Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing or running, could also shift probabilities. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks, or public sentiment shifts reflected in social media, could create momentum in this market. Unexpected developments during pre-game warmups could also lead to rapid price adjustments.