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484,805

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2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Vikings vs. Bears
kalshi
predict
polymarket
limitless
opinion

Vikings vs. Bears

Volume:
$19,180,726

Minnesota

 - Kalshi

Minnesota - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,675,719
N/A
N/A
$2,760,267
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Spread -2.5

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q Moneyline

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Moneyline

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94.9¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vikings vs. Bears

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,531,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Vikings vs. Bears

View
99%
65%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$35,408
$10,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Vikings vs. Bears

View
N/A
N/A
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3Q Moneyline

View
50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1Q Moneyline

View
50%
19%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,876,425
N/A
N/A
$4,521,262
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$623,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 333

Intro

This market tracks the probability of the Minnesota Vikings winning the third quarter moneyline against the Chicago Bears in their upcoming NFL game. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi, Predict, Polymarket, Limitless, and Opinion is 37.0% for the Vikings to lead after the third quarter. Resolution will be based on official game data reported by https://www.nfl.com/scores. With markets covering various game outcomes, focus on the game itself scheduled for September 20th as the key indicator for final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Several platforms specify the game date as September 20, 2026, which is incorrect. While the core resolution logic is consistent (NFL.com game book), the date discrepancy introduces potential confusion.Hero tip: Focus on markets resolving based on the official NFL.com game book. Disregard the incorrect date on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official NFL.com game book. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game as determined by official sources, but specifies the game date as September 20, 2026.
  • Predict: Resolves based on the official NFL.com game book. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50.
  • Opinion: Resolves based on the official NFL.com game book. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50.
  • Limitless: Resolves based on the official NFL.com game book. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Chicago wins the MIN Vikings vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the MIN Vikings vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Opinion

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-09-20 17:00 UTC: If the Minnesota Vikings win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Vikings". If the Chicago Bears win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Vikings vs. Bears game market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It tracks volume and recent trading activity across venues, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment toward this matchup. The view updates continuously, letting participants see where interest is concentrated and how expectations shift as the game approaches.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders rather than set operator margins. In this market, the implied probabilities can move sharply based on new information, trading volume, and platform-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks may hold a fixed line, prediction markets adjust continuously, sometimes offering sharper or more volatile pricing depending on participant activity and sentiment.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because each platform has its own user base, liquidity pool, and trading patterns. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting from fans of a particular team, skewing its odds. Additionally, differences in fee structures, market design, and the timing of trades can cause the two platforms to price this market differently, even for the same underlying event.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting weather conditions could all move this market as the game approaches. High-profile media coverage or notable pre-game performances often shift trader sentiment, causing odds to adjust. Any development that impacts the perceived likelihood of each team winning or affecting the spread can lead to noticeable price changes on platforms tracking this market.