TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Viking and Fredrikstad, focusing exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the final score at the end of the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Viking vs Fredrikstad professional Eliteserien soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Viking wins, the 'Viking' market resolves to Yes. If Fredrikstad wins, the 'Fredrikstad' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The outcome excludes extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the regular-time result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and can present opportunities for arbitrage if you believe one venue is mispricing the event. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The volume traded at each price point also contributes to price discovery, showing where the most conviction lies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Viking vs Fredrikstad match as reported by official sources. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the corresponding outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations and move the odds. The performance of each team in their preceding matches will also be closely watched. Major announcements related to player availability or tactical changes could also cause significant price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely impact this market.