TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bayern Munich will win their Champions League soccer match against Viking. Currently, Kalshi gives Bayern Munich a 57.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 25.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the Viking vs Bayern Munich professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 13, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the outcome and subsequent market resolution.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Viking vs Bayern Munich Champions League match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team market occurs only if that specific team wins the match in regular time. If the match ends in a tie at the end of regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes—including extra time, penalty shootouts, or revised schedules within 48 hours—affect the resolution of these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may signal that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, as the event approaches, prediction market odds tend to converge with sportsbook odds due to increased trading and information flow, although divergences can still occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Viking vs Bayern Munich match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there’s always a bid and ask price available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Viking vs Bayern Munich match as reported by official sports sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and move the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage surrounding the match can influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or changes in betting trends could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.