TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between VfL Wolfsburg and Hamburger SV scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets track the outcome: whether Hamburger SV wins, whether VfL Wolfsburg wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi markets align on the same match outcome determination (90 minutes plus stoppage time), primary resolution source (official Bundesliga or credible consensus), and edge case handling for postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics (bundesliga.com) as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Hamburger SV Win market resolves Yes if Hamburger SV scores more goals than VfL Wolfsburg after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No.
- VfL Wolfsburg Win market resolves Yes if VfL Wolfsburg scores more goals than Hamburger SV after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No.
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No.
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, win markets resolve to No and the draw market resolves to Yes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed.
- Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Hamburger SV Win and VfL Wolfsburg Win markets resolve to No; the Draw market resolves to Yes.
- Resolution source delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used for resolution.
- Scope of play: Resolution is based only on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are not included.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 7, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of match end.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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