This event group covers multiple betting markets on the Bundesliga match between VfL Wolfsburg and FC Augsburg scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets include total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and margin-of-victory spreads for each team.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on using the official Bundesliga.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements, cancellations, and incomplete matches.
Primary resolution logic:
Bundesliga.com official final score
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on combined goals scored by both teams within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold, Under if below
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal, No if either team scores zero
Margin-of-victory markets (Kalshi) resolve Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated goal differential
Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from all resolution calculations
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. No early settlement occurs.
Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no scheduled makeup date.
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score published on bundesliga.com at that time.
Scope Limitation: All markets refer only to outcomes within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on bundesliga.com, or immediately upon cancellation with no makeup game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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